Presentation description
The Great Salt Lake Basin Integrated Plan (GSLBIP) is used to determine water allocation across the region. To build a plan for the future, a greater understanding of water entering the system through precipitation must be met. Global climate models (GCMs) are comprised of assumptions based on an initial condition and indication of change in future greenhouse gas emissions. They return predicted future variables, such as precipitation. However, different GCMs seem to vary greatly in expected precipitation for June through August at the end of the century. Particularly wet models for Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP) 5.85 predict up to a doubling of precipitation in the summer from before 2014 to the end of the century, while dry models for SSP 5.85 simulate just above half of historical precipitation values. Such a range in the summer months is likely due to the way a particular GCM simulates changes in the North American Monsoon. Clear and logical patterns appeared across the wet models that explain a future increase in precipitation.
Presenter Name: Sydney Smith
Presentation Type: Poster
Presentation Format: In Person
Presentation #B88
College: Mines & Earth Sciences
School / Department: Atmospheric Sciences
Research Mentor: Courtenay Strong
Time: 9:45 AM
Physical Location or Zoom link:
Ballroom
